Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 1.691587e-05 2.081445e-05 0.000025 0.000030 0.000036 0.000042 0.000050
2025-07-13 1.155880e-05 1.636174e-05 0.000022 0.000030 0.000038 0.000049 0.000062
2025-07-20 8.269732e-06 1.336978e-05 0.000020 0.000029 0.000041 0.000055 0.000073
2025-07-27 6.305949e-06 1.154349e-05 0.000019 0.000030 0.000044 0.000062 0.000086
2025-08-03 5.458410e-06 1.105881e-05 0.000019 0.000032 0.000050 0.000072 0.000103
2025-08-10 4.170555e-06 9.564007e-06 0.000018 0.000032 0.000052 0.000078 0.000114
2025-08-17 2.804089e-06 7.540746e-06 0.000016 0.000030 0.000050 0.000079 0.000119
2025-08-24 1.910788e-06 6.084137e-06 0.000014 0.000028 0.000050 0.000081 0.000125
2025-08-31 1.414084e-06 5.263189e-06 0.000013 0.000028 0.000051 0.000085 0.000135
2025-09-07 9.708121e-07 4.371437e-06 0.000012 0.000027 0.000051 0.000088 0.000142
2025-09-14 6.021600e-07 3.460247e-06 0.000011 0.000025 0.000050 0.000088 0.000146
2025-09-21 3.749594e-07 2.806537e-06 0.000010 0.000024 0.000050 0.000090 0.000152
2025-09-28 1.624597e-07 2.000491e-06 0.000008 0.000022 0.000049 0.000092 0.000159
2025-10-05 7.082040e-08 1.534222e-06 0.000007 0.000022 0.000050 0.000096 0.000171
2025-10-12 2.657954e-08 1.190179e-06 0.000007 0.000021 0.000051 0.000101 0.000183
2025-10-19 9.704965e-09 9.873995e-07 0.000006 0.000022 0.000054 0.000109 0.000200
2025-10-26 5.986860e-09 9.809798e-07 0.000007 0.000024 0.000060 0.000121 0.000224
2025-11-02 9.131981e-10 7.755957e-07 0.000006 0.000024 0.000061 0.000128 0.000239
2025-11-09 NaN 4.916673e-07 0.000005 0.000022 0.000060 0.000128 0.000245
2025-11-16 NaN 3.149870e-07 0.000004 0.000020 0.000059 0.000129 0.000252
2025-11-23 NaN 2.299385e-07 0.000004 0.000020 0.000060 0.000135 0.000266
2025-11-30 NaN 1.470033e-07 0.000004 0.000019 0.000060 0.000138 0.000276
2025-12-07 NaN 7.795169e-08 0.000003 0.000018 0.000059 0.000138 0.000282